America-Iran Hostility: Will Great Crisis Erupt In Middle East With Unintended Humanitarian Consequences

Andrew Korybko

Demonstrators burn the U.S. and British flags during a protest against the killing of Qasem Soleimani in Tehran, Iran, January 3, 2020. /Reuters Photo
Editor’s note: Andrew Korybko is a Moscow-based American political analyst. The article reflects the author’s opinions, and not necessarily the views of CGTN.

The latest Mideast crisis that was sparked by the killing of Iranian Major General Qasem Soleimani by a U.S. airstrike in Baghdad on January 3 is reaching a new level of tension after the U.S.’s refusal to abide by Iraq’s non-binding resolution to withdraw from the country and U.S. President Donald Trump’s tweeted war crime threats to target Iranian cultural sites if the Islamic Republic militarily responds to the U.S. Conspicuously missing from the conversation, however, is any talk of the U.S.’s missile shield in Poland and Romania which was supposedly built to defend against Iran.

Former U.S. President George W Bush pulled out of the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, after which he and his successors proceeded to deploy anti-missile infrastructure in Poland and Romania on the basis that this was needed to defend the EU from Iranian ballistic missiles.

Russia consistently maintained that that reasoning was nothing more than a ruse to slyly undercut its nuclear second strike capabilities and thus put Moscow in a position of perpetual nuclear blackmail for the geopolitical purpose of indefinitely maintaining the U.S.’s worldwide hegemony.

That plot is no longer applicable after Russia’s development of cutting-edge hypersonic missiles neutralized the strategic threat posed by the U.S.’ missile shield, but it’s still worth pointing out that the U.S. wasn’t being sincere with its stated purpose in deploying that infrastructure seeing as how practically nobody is discussing the role that it was supposed to play in the current Mideast crisis. Russia is therefore vindicated in all of its previously expressed concerns whereas the U.S.’s reputation among its EU allies might continue to suffer.

Its soft power might also take a hit since it refuses to withdraw from Iraq without that country compensating it for the billions of dollars that the U.S. spent constructing a massive airbase there. Trump also threatened to impose crippling sanctions on Iraq if they dishonorably kick the U.S. military out in an “unfriendly way.”

In addition, it’s worth mentioning that the Iraqi Kurds didn’t vote for the non-binding resolution on January 5, potentially setting up a constitutional crisis if they request that the U.S. remains in their region.

The topic of America’s potential withdrawal from Iraq is also of direct concern for Syria, too. The U.S. is still occupying the northeastern part of the country in order to “secure the oil,” per Trump’s own words. Severing their trans-Iraqi supply line through an immediate withdrawal from Iraq could in turn lead to one from Syria, too. That scenario is unlikely for the time being, however, since the U.S. might demand at least overflight access across Iraq in order to maintain its occupation of northeastern Syria, though that remains to be seen.

The best-case scenario for the region (but not necessarily for American interests as some decision-makers understand them) would be if the U.S. sincerely committed to withdrawing from both countries following requests of their UN-recognized governments. That might also serve to de-escalate tensions with Iran and thus allow the Islamic Republic to “save face” by not going through with its threat to attack U.S. military targets in response to Soleimani’s assassination since they could portray that development as a political victory.

In the event that Iran does indeed attack American military assets, Trump has threatened to strike 52 targets in the country, including cultural sites. That possible response has been described as a war crime by many since Trump tweeted it on January 4, though the question comes down to whether the international community would have the political will to impose tangible costs (most likely economic in this context) on the U.S. if that happened. Given the significance of the U.S. market to many countries, that outcome is unlikely.

As it stands, tensions are extremely high in the region and it’s almost impossible to predict what will happen next. The variables to watch are whether the U.S. withdraws from Iraq (and if so, under what conditions and with which time frame) and whether or not Iran militarily responds to the U.S., even if indirectly by proxy.

No sensible person wants to see the U.S. and Iran go to war with one another since the regional humanitarian consequences would be disastrous, but sometimes wars happen by miscalculation, and this might become one such example.

Andrew Korybko is a Moscow-based American political analyst. The article reflects the author’s opinions, and not necessarily the editorial policy of Millat Times.

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  253. What’s up?

    I found this article very interesting…please read!

    Do you remember the blockbuster hit film The Matrix that was released in 1999? You may not know this, but it has deep spiritual implications concerning the times we are living in and Bible prophecy.

    It tells a story of how these “agents” are trying to turn us into machines. We are closer then ever before for this to become a reality when they cause us to receive an implantable microchip in our body during a time when physical money will be no more.

    You may have seen on NBC news concerning the implantable RFID microchip that some people are getting put in their hand to make purchases, but did you know this microchip matches perfectly with prophecy in the Bible?

    “He (the false prophet who deceives many by his miracles) causes all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hand or on their foreheads, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his name…

    You also may have heard of the legendary number “666” that people have been speculating for possibly thousands of years on what it actually means. This article shares something I haven’t seen before, and I don’t think there could be any better explanation for what it means to calculate 666. This is no hoax. Very fascinating stuff!

    …Here is wisdom. Let him who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man: His number is 666″ (Revelation 13:16-18 NKJV).

    To see all the details showing why the Bible foretold of all these things, check out this article!

    Article: https://biblewoke.com/rfid-mark-of-the-beast-666-revealed

    GOD is sending out His end time warning:

    “Then a third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, ‘If anyone worships the beast and his image, and receives his mark on his forehead or on his hand, he himself shall also drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out full strength into the cup of His indignation. He shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels and in the presence of the Lamb. And the smoke of their torment ascends forever and ever; and they have no rest day or night, who worship the beast and his image, and whoever receives the mark of his name'” (Revelation 14:9-11).

    In the Islamic religion they have man called the Mahdi who is known as their messiah of whom they are waiting to take the stage. There are many testimonies from people online who believe this man will be Barack Obama who is to be the biblical Antichrist based off dreams they have received. I myself have had strange dreams about him like no other person. So much so that I decided to share this information.

    He came on stage claiming to be a Christian with no affiliation to the Muslim faith…

    “In our lives, Michelle and I have been strengthened by our Christian faith. But there have been times where my faith has been questioned — by people who don’t know me — or they’ve said that I adhere to a different religion, as if that were somehow a bad thing,” – Barack Obama

    …but was later revealed by his own family members that he indeed is a devout Muslim.

    So what’s in the name? The meaning of someones name can say a lot about a person. God throughout history has given names to people that have a specific meaning tied to their lives. How about the name Barack Obama? Let us take a look at what may be hiding beneath the surface…

    “And He (Jesus) said to them (His disciples), ‘I saw Satan fall like lightning from heaven'” (Luke 10:18).

    In the Hebrew language we can uncover the meaning behind the name Barack Obama.

    Barack, also transliterated as Baraq, in Hebrew is: lightning

    baraq – Biblical definition:

    From Strongs H1299; lightning; by analogy a gleam; concretely a flashing sword: – bright, glitter (-ing, sword), lightning. (Strongs Hebrew word H1300 baraq baw-rawk’)

    Barak ‘O’bamah, The use of bamah is used to refer to the “heights” of Heaven.

    bamah – Biblical definition:

    From an unused root (meaning to be high); an elevation: – height, high place, wave. (Strongs Hebrew word H1116 bamah baw-maw’)

    The day following the election of Barack Obama (11/04/08), the winning pick 3 lotto numbers in Illinois (Obama’s home state) for 11/5/08 were 666.

    Obama was a U.S. senator for Illinois, and his zip code was 60606.

    Seek Jesus while He may be found…repent, confess and forsake your sins and trust in the savior! Jesus says we must be born again by His Holy Spirit to enter the kingdom of God…God bless!

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